Andrey (azangru) wrote,

The trick of asking "who benefits", "who stands to gain", which, as we learn from detective stories, is instrumental in solving crime puzzles, seems moronic when applied to political comments. Life is chaotic. People are stupid. Things do not go as planned. And interpretation of benefit is a post-hoc activity, which, like Popper’s pseudo-sciences, eludes falsifiability adapting to the ever-changing facts. Discussions of who benefits and who does not are just empty speculations and have no place in establishing who actually done it.

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